Greetings! After endless tinkering I FINALLY have my Pick-3 Wonder-Grid spreadsheet up and running and am ready to “lock it down”, but before I do, there’s a few details concerning the Insertion Point I want to make sure I fully understand. All my comments below apply to playing only the Top 3 pairs and utilizing the “standard” PPL of 24 drawings.
Here’s my process for determining the Insertion Point (#1 denotes the most recent drawing).
a) I go back 100 draws to #101 and generate the Wonder-Grid.My questions:
b) I check the performance of the Wonder-Grid against #1 through #99 and select as the Insertion Point the latest draw where the Wonder-Grid hit (for talking purposes, let’s say it’s at #57).
c) I then generate the Wonder-Grid for #57 and use the combos generated by the Wonder-Grid for the next 100 draws in the future from #1. If it hits sooner than 100 draws I discard the Wonder-Grid and re-calculate.
1) Regarding Step a), I’ve seen various posts claiming 20, 50, 100, etc. Is there any general consensus as to what the proper number is? Thanks as always to everyone for their input!
2) Regarding Step b), I’m not clear if it’s best to select the oldest hit or the most recent hit. The “what-if” scenarios I’ve run so far suggest using the most recent hit works better. Again, is there any consensus on this?
3) Regarding Step c), do you play 100 in the future from the most recent drawing, or 100 from the Insertion point? In other words, do you play 100 in the future from #1, or 100 from #57, which leads to 100 – 57 = 43 drawings in the future from #1?
4) Lastly, Is there any reason to not recalculate the Wonder-Grid after EVERY drawing and play it for the next drawing only, then discard and recalculate? You could limit the cost by using the Skips of the strategy as filters. I’ve tinkered with this method a little and almost got a straight hit a few days ago (more on this later).
PS- Regarding the drawing I “almost” hit, here’s what happened: Running Skip for the strategy was less than the Median Skip. Running Skip was greater than 6 (past performance indicates the strategy rarely hits when the Running Skip is less than 6). Combinations generated was only 14! So far so good! I’m about to run out the door to buy my tickets and I say to myself “hey, isn’t there a 73% chance that the next drawing will contain no in-line repeats? I apply this filter and HOLY CRAP, my list goes from 14 to 2! Even better!
Of course you know what happened . . .the number actually drawn was one of the 12 I threw out at the last minute